Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 update forecasts Tokyo's April 6 high at 19°C amid cloudy skies and 40% precipitation odds, after warmer April 4-5 peaks of 24-25°C with showers, yet divergent models like AccuWeather project similar 19°C but with afternoon clearing and southwest breezes fostering boundary layer warming. This model spread underpins trader sentiment clustering at 21°C (33% implied probability) and 22°C (28%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in cloud evolution, sea breeze intensification, and solar insolation—key differentiators where partial clearing could add 2-3°C via enhanced surface heating, while persistent overcast caps at 20°C. Above climatological early April average of 18°C, next JMA guidance at 0500 JST April 4 may sharpen consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
21°C 32%
22°C 27%
23°C or higher 17%
20°C 17%
НОВОЕ
$10,159 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,159 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
17%
21°C
32%
22°C
27%
23°C or higher
17%
21°C 32%
22°C 27%
23°C or higher 17%
20°C 17%
НОВОЕ
$10,159 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,159 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$891 Объем
<1%
14°C
$902 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,024 Объем
<1%
16°C
$659 Объем
1%
17°C
$837 Объем
1%
18°C
$736 Объем
3%
19°C
$934 Объем
7%
20°C
$1,202 Объем
17%
21°C
$832 Объем
32%
22°C
$890 Объем
27%
23°C or higher
$1,251 Объем
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 update forecasts Tokyo's April 6 high at 19°C amid cloudy skies and 40% precipitation odds, after warmer April 4-5 peaks of 24-25°C with showers, yet divergent models like AccuWeather project similar 19°C but with afternoon clearing and southwest breezes fostering boundary layer warming. This model spread underpins trader sentiment clustering at 21°C (33% implied probability) and 22°C (28%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in cloud evolution, sea breeze intensification, and solar insolation—key differentiators where partial clearing could add 2-3°C via enhanced surface heating, while persistent overcast caps at 20°C. Above climatological early April average of 18°C, next JMA guidance at 0500 JST April 4 may sharpen consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$10,159Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 update forecasts Tokyo's April 6 high at 19°C amid cloudy skies and 40% precipitation odds, after warmer April 4-5 peaks of 24-25°C with showers, yet divergent models like AccuWeather project similar 19°C but with afternoon clearing and southwest breezes fostering boundary layer warming. This model spread underpins trader sentiment clustering at 21°C (33% implied probability) and 22°C (28%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in cloud evolution, sea breeze intensification, and solar insolation—key differentiators where partial clearing could add 2-3°C via enhanced surface heating, while persistent overcast caps at 20°C. Above climatological early April average of 18°C, next JMA guidance at 0500 JST April 4 may sharpen consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,159Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 update forecasts Tokyo's April 6 high at 19°C amid cloudy skies and 40% precipitation odds, after warmer April 4-5 peaks of 24-25°C with showers, yet divergent models like AccuWeather project similar 19°C but with afternoon clearing and southwest breezes fostering boundary layer warming. This model spread underpins trader sentiment clustering at 21°C (33% implied probability) and 22°C (28%), reflecting springtime uncertainty in cloud evolution, sea breeze intensification, and solar insolation—key differentiators where partial clearing could add 2-3°C via enhanced surface heating, while persistent overcast caps at 20°C. Above climatological early April average of 18°C, next JMA guidance at 0500 JST April 4 may sharpen consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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