Trader sentiment on Wuhan's highest temperature April 8 reflects deep forecast uncertainty, with market-implied odds split evenly at 50% for 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, while mid-range specifics (15–23°C) hover at 35.5%, signaling bimodal expectations from divergent weather models. Recent China Meteorological Administration-linked bulletins via Hong Kong Observatory report April 3 highs near 21°C under cloudy conditions with shower risks, following a warmer April 1 (24°C fine), highlighting volatile frontal passages typical of early spring in central China. AccuWeather's 10-day outlook projects ~20°C (68°F) mostly cloudy on April 8, but GFS/ECMWF ensembles diverge on cold front stall versus ridge buildup, amid historical early-April averages of 18–20°C. New model runs daily could sharpen consensus before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
20°C 29%
21°C 29%
24°C or higher 26%
22°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
9%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
29%
21°C
29%
22°C
16%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
26%
20°C 29%
21°C 29%
24°C or higher 26%
22°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$0 Объем
2%
15°C
$0 Объем
8%
16°C
$0 Объем
9%
17°C
$0 Объем
8%
18°C
$0 Объем
10%
19°C
$0 Объем
13%
20°C
$0 Объем
29%
21°C
$0 Объем
29%
22°C
$0 Объем
16%
23°C
$0 Объем
12%
24°C or higher
$0 Объем
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Wuhan's highest temperature April 8 reflects deep forecast uncertainty, with market-implied odds split evenly at 50% for 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, while mid-range specifics (15–23°C) hover at 35.5%, signaling bimodal expectations from divergent weather models. Recent China Meteorological Administration-linked bulletins via Hong Kong Observatory report April 3 highs near 21°C under cloudy conditions with shower risks, following a warmer April 1 (24°C fine), highlighting volatile frontal passages typical of early spring in central China. AccuWeather's 10-day outlook projects ~20°C (68°F) mostly cloudy on April 8, but GFS/ECMWF ensembles diverge on cold front stall versus ridge buildup, amid historical early-April averages of 18–20°C. New model runs daily could sharpen consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Wuhan's highest temperature April 8 reflects deep forecast uncertainty, with market-implied odds split evenly at 50% for 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, while mid-range specifics (15–23°C) hover at 35.5%, signaling bimodal expectations from divergent weather models. Recent China Meteorological Administration-linked bulletins via Hong Kong Observatory report April 3 highs near 21°C under cloudy conditions with shower risks, following a warmer April 1 (24°C fine), highlighting volatile frontal passages typical of early spring in central China. AccuWeather's 10-day outlook projects ~20°C (68°F) mostly cloudy on April 8, but GFS/ECMWF ensembles diverge on cold front stall versus ridge buildup, amid historical early-April averages of 18–20°C. New model runs daily could sharpen consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Wuhan's highest temperature April 8 reflects deep forecast uncertainty, with market-implied odds split evenly at 50% for 14°C or below and 24°C or higher, while mid-range specifics (15–23°C) hover at 35.5%, signaling bimodal expectations from divergent weather models. Recent China Meteorological Administration-linked bulletins via Hong Kong Observatory report April 3 highs near 21°C under cloudy conditions with shower risks, following a warmer April 1 (24°C fine), highlighting volatile frontal passages typical of early spring in central China. AccuWeather's 10-day outlook projects ~20°C (68°F) mostly cloudy on April 8, but GFS/ECMWF ensembles diverge on cold front stall versus ridge buildup, amid historical early-April averages of 18–20°C. New model runs daily could sharpen consensus before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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