Traders assign a 43% implied probability to 82-83°F as Dallas's highest temperature today, aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport projecting afternoon peaks near 83°F amid mostly sunny skies, south winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, and strong warm air advection from a 500 mb ridge overhead. Recent 12z GFS and ECMWF model runs show consensus for 850 mb temperatures around 19-21°C supporting robust diurnal heating in a dry air mass, with negligible precipitation risk capping cloud interference. This positions 80-81°F (22%) and 84-85°F (20%) as close contenders amid minor forecast spread. Official high resolves from DFW ASOS observations, typically peaking 3-6 p.m. CDT; any mid-level clouds could trim 1-2°F. April climatology averages 76°F highs, but spring outlook favors above-normal warmth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
86-87°F 5.8%
$40,596 Объем
$40,596 Объем
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
86-87°F 5.8%
$40,596 Объем
$40,596 Объем
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 43% implied probability to 82-83°F as Dallas's highest temperature today, aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport projecting afternoon peaks near 83°F amid mostly sunny skies, south winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, and strong warm air advection from a 500 mb ridge overhead. Recent 12z GFS and ECMWF model runs show consensus for 850 mb temperatures around 19-21°C supporting robust diurnal heating in a dry air mass, with negligible precipitation risk capping cloud interference. This positions 80-81°F (22%) and 84-85°F (20%) as close contenders amid minor forecast spread. Official high resolves from DFW ASOS observations, typically peaking 3-6 p.m. CDT; any mid-level clouds could trim 1-2°F. April climatology averages 76°F highs, but spring outlook favors above-normal warmth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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