Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 14-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes amid high day+4 uncertainty. A recent cold snap across Germany—driven by lingering polar vortex influences and northerly flows—has given way to a projected shift toward anticyclonic high pressure over central Europe, boosting odds for 16-20°C or higher through enhanced subsidence and southerly warm air advection. Differentiating factors include ridge strength over the Alps (favoring 19-20+°C under clear skies) versus persistent cloudiness or weaker highs (toward 14-16°C), against early April climatological averages of 13-15°C. New model runs expected daily from DWD and ECMWF could sharpen this spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on April 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
20°C or higher 20%
16°C 17%
14°C 16%
15°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
7%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
8%
14°C
16%
15°C
14%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
20%
20°C or higher 20%
16°C 17%
14°C 16%
15°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$112 Объем
7%
11°C
$0 Объем
5%
12°C
$0 Объем
8%
13°C
$0 Объем
8%
14°C
$8 Объем
16%
15°C
$0 Объем
14%
16°C
$0 Объем
17%
17°C
$20 Объем
8%
18°C
$13 Объем
8%
19°C
$33 Объем
15%
20°C or higher
$0 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 14-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes amid high day+4 uncertainty. A recent cold snap across Germany—driven by lingering polar vortex influences and northerly flows—has given way to a projected shift toward anticyclonic high pressure over central Europe, boosting odds for 16-20°C or higher through enhanced subsidence and southerly warm air advection. Differentiating factors include ridge strength over the Alps (favoring 19-20+°C under clear skies) versus persistent cloudiness or weaker highs (toward 14-16°C), against early April climatological averages of 13-15°C. New model runs expected daily from DWD and ECMWF could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$186Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 14-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes amid high day+4 uncertainty. A recent cold snap across Germany—driven by lingering polar vortex influences and northerly flows—has given way to a projected shift toward anticyclonic high pressure over central Europe, boosting odds for 16-20°C or higher through enhanced subsidence and southerly warm air advection. Differentiating factors include ridge strength over the Alps (favoring 19-20+°C under clear skies) versus persistent cloudiness or weaker highs (toward 14-16°C), against early April climatological averages of 13-15°C. New model runs expected daily from DWD and ECMWF could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$186Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 14-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes amid high day+4 uncertainty. A recent cold snap across Germany—driven by lingering polar vortex influences and northerly flows—has given way to a projected shift toward anticyclonic high pressure over central Europe, boosting odds for 16-20°C or higher through enhanced subsidence and southerly warm air advection. Differentiating factors include ridge strength over the Alps (favoring 19-20+°C under clear skies) versus persistent cloudiness or weaker highs (toward 14-16°C), against early April climatological averages of 13-15°C. New model runs expected daily from DWD and ECMWF could sharpen this spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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