Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering Munich's highest temperature at Munich Airport station on April 5 around 21-22°C, with 21°C at 31.5% implied probability and 22°C at 26.5%, amid a sharp warming trend from recent cooler days. This positioning stems from anticipated high-pressure ridging ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average 500 hPa heights, potentially enhanced by Foehn winds near the Alps, though overcast skies and isolated late thunderstorms per timeanddate.com updates could temper peaks to 20°C. Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance remains cooler near 13°C, highlighting model spread; differentiation hinges on cloud cover evolution and insolation, with new 12Z runs expected April 3 to refine odds before resolution. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring the warm outlier potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 32%
22°C 27%
23°C 19%
20°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
11%
21°C
32%
22°C
27%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
8%
21°C 32%
22°C 27%
23°C 19%
20°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$794 Объем
<1%
15°C
$481 Объем
<1%
16°C
$354 Объем
<1%
17°C
$355 Объем
1%
18°C
$735 Объем
2%
19°C
$857 Объем
8%
20°C
$1,011 Объем
11%
21°C
$1,118 Объем
32%
22°C
$1,379 Объем
27%
23°C
$696 Объем
19%
24°C or higher
$757 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering Munich's highest temperature at Munich Airport station on April 5 around 21-22°C, with 21°C at 31.5% implied probability and 22°C at 26.5%, amid a sharp warming trend from recent cooler days. This positioning stems from anticipated high-pressure ridging ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average 500 hPa heights, potentially enhanced by Foehn winds near the Alps, though overcast skies and isolated late thunderstorms per timeanddate.com updates could temper peaks to 20°C. Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance remains cooler near 13°C, highlighting model spread; differentiation hinges on cloud cover evolution and insolation, with new 12Z runs expected April 3 to refine odds before resolution. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring the warm outlier potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$8,536Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering Munich's highest temperature at Munich Airport station on April 5 around 21-22°C, with 21°C at 31.5% implied probability and 22°C at 26.5%, amid a sharp warming trend from recent cooler days. This positioning stems from anticipated high-pressure ridging ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average 500 hPa heights, potentially enhanced by Foehn winds near the Alps, though overcast skies and isolated late thunderstorms per timeanddate.com updates could temper peaks to 20°C. Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance remains cooler near 13°C, highlighting model spread; differentiation hinges on cloud cover evolution and insolation, with new 12Z runs expected April 3 to refine odds before resolution. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring the warm outlier potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,536Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering Munich's highest temperature at Munich Airport station on April 5 around 21-22°C, with 21°C at 31.5% implied probability and 22°C at 26.5%, amid a sharp warming trend from recent cooler days. This positioning stems from anticipated high-pressure ridging ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average 500 hPa heights, potentially enhanced by Foehn winds near the Alps, though overcast skies and isolated late thunderstorms per timeanddate.com updates could temper peaks to 20°C. Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance remains cooler near 13°C, highlighting model spread; differentiation hinges on cloud cover evolution and insolation, with new 12Z runs expected April 3 to refine odds before resolution. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring the warm outlier potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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