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Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?

13°C 29%

14°C 26%

15°C 15%

12°C 12%

Polymarket

$20,371 Объем

13°C 29%

14°C 26%

15°C 15%

12°C 12%

Polymarket

$20,371 Объем

9°C or below

$3,255 Объем

1%

10°C

$1,371 Объем

2%

11°C

$1,932 Объем

5%

12°C

$1,864 Объем

12%

13°C

$1,752 Объем

29%

14°C

$1,620 Объем

26%

15°C

$2,446 Объем

15%

16°C

$1,503 Объем

3%

17°C

$1,513 Объем

<1%

18°C

$1,599 Объем

<1%

19°C or higher

$1,579 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,371
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,371
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «13°C» с 28%, за ним следует «14°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $20.4K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?» — «13°C» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «14°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.