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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?

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27°C 26%

25°C 26%

26°C 25%

28°C 18%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

27°C 26%

25°C 26%

26°C 25%

28°C 18%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

19°C or below

$150 Объем

1%

20°C

$25 Объем

7%

21°C

$25 Объем

7%

22°C

$25 Объем

8%

23°C

$0 Объем

8%

24°C

$0 Объем

12%

25°C

$0 Объем

26%

26°C

$0 Объем

25%

27°C

$0 Объем

26%

28°C

$20 Объем

10%

29°C or higher

$10 Объем

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day forecast, issued April 4, projecting a 24-28°C range for April 8 amid mainly cloudy skies, light rain patches, and high humidity (75-95%) from a weakening trough of low pressure. Recent showers through April 3-5 have capped highs at 25-27°C, fostering caution despite brighter periods expected midweek and an above-normal April temperature outlook. Differentiating factors include cloud-induced suppression of solar heating versus potential for southeast winds (force 4-5) aiding slight warming; model spread on rain persistence could tip the highest observed temperature between 25-27°C, with daily HKO updates through April 7 resolving key variables like visibility and storm surge risk.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$255
Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day forecast, issued April 4, projecting a 24-28°C range for April 8 amid mainly cloudy skies, light rain patches, and high humidity (75-95%) from a weakening trough of low pressure. Recent showers through April 3-5 have capped highs at 25-27°C, fostering caution despite brighter periods expected midweek and an above-normal April temperature outlook. Differentiating factors include cloud-induced suppression of solar heating versus potential for southeast winds (force 4-5) aiding slight warming; model spread on rain persistence could tip the highest observed temperature between 25-27°C, with daily HKO updates through April 7 resolving key variables like visibility and storm surge risk.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$255
Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C» с 26%, за ним следует «27°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 26¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?» — «25°C» с 26%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Следующий ближайший исход — «27°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.