Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 50-51°F (31%) in New York City on April 8, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting post-frontal cooling after a cold front sweeps through the Northeast on April 6-7, advecting crisp Canadian air southward. This setup, amid a wavy jet stream pattern, caps highs below the 59°F climatological April 8 average, with lower probabilities for 56°F+ (7.5%) due to limited solar insolation and potential lingering clouds. Key variables include frontal timing—earlier passage boosts 46-49°F odds (31% combined), while delays allow brief warm-up to 52-55°F (29.5%)—plus boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability. Daily model updates from NOAA through April 7 will refine resolution at Central Park station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 8?
50-51°F 20%
52-53°F 18%
48-49°F 15.6%
46-47°F 13.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
7%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
16%
50-51°F
20%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
12%
56°F or higher
9%
50-51°F 20%
52-53°F 18%
48-49°F 15.6%
46-47°F 13.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
37°F or below
$59 Объем
1%
38-39°F
$0 Объем
2%
40-41°F
$0 Объем
2%
42-43°F
$6 Объем
2%
44-45°F
$21 Объем
7%
46-47°F
$16 Объем
15%
48-49°F
$16 Объем
16%
50-51°F
$64 Объем
20%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
18%
54-55°F
$5 Объем
12%
56°F or higher
$26 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 50-51°F (31%) in New York City on April 8, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting post-frontal cooling after a cold front sweeps through the Northeast on April 6-7, advecting crisp Canadian air southward. This setup, amid a wavy jet stream pattern, caps highs below the 59°F climatological April 8 average, with lower probabilities for 56°F+ (7.5%) due to limited solar insolation and potential lingering clouds. Key variables include frontal timing—earlier passage boosts 46-49°F odds (31% combined), while delays allow brief warm-up to 52-55°F (29.5%)—plus boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability. Daily model updates from NOAA through April 7 will refine resolution at Central Park station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$209Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 50-51°F (31%) in New York City on April 8, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting post-frontal cooling after a cold front sweeps through the Northeast on April 6-7, advecting crisp Canadian air southward. This setup, amid a wavy jet stream pattern, caps highs below the 59°F climatological April 8 average, with lower probabilities for 56°F+ (7.5%) due to limited solar insolation and potential lingering clouds. Key variables include frontal timing—earlier passage boosts 46-49°F odds (31% combined), while delays allow brief warm-up to 52-55°F (29.5%)—plus boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability. Daily model updates from NOAA through April 7 will refine resolution at Central Park station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$209Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 50-51°F (31%) in New York City on April 8, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting post-frontal cooling after a cold front sweeps through the Northeast on April 6-7, advecting crisp Canadian air southward. This setup, amid a wavy jet stream pattern, caps highs below the 59°F climatological April 8 average, with lower probabilities for 56°F+ (7.5%) due to limited solar insolation and potential lingering clouds. Key variables include frontal timing—earlier passage boosts 46-49°F odds (31% combined), while delays allow brief warm-up to 52-55°F (29.5%)—plus boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability. Daily model updates from NOAA through April 7 will refine resolution at Central Park station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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