Korea Meteorological Administration's medium-range forecast, updated April 4, projects a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 amid low 10% precipitation odds and stable high-pressure influence, anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C or higher implied at 46.5% as the leading outcome. This reflects recent spring patterns following April 4 rains and weekend highs near 17–18°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating East Asian jet stream steering. Lower outcomes like 13°C (22%) and 11–12°C (19% each) gain traction from potential cold air advection or increased cloud cover in ensemble model runs, highlighting forecast uncertainty as surface heating varies with winds and soil moisture. Traders await daily KMA refinements through April 7 for resolution clarity on this exact-temperature threshold market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 47%
13°C 19%
12°C 19%
11°C 18%
5°C or below
2%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
47%
15°C or higher 47%
13°C 19%
12°C 19%
11°C 18%
5°C or below
2%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
18%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's medium-range forecast, updated April 4, projects a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 amid low 10% precipitation odds and stable high-pressure influence, anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C or higher implied at 46.5% as the leading outcome. This reflects recent spring patterns following April 4 rains and weekend highs near 17–18°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating East Asian jet stream steering. Lower outcomes like 13°C (22%) and 11–12°C (19% each) gain traction from potential cold air advection or increased cloud cover in ensemble model runs, highlighting forecast uncertainty as surface heating varies with winds and soil moisture. Traders await daily KMA refinements through April 7 for resolution clarity on this exact-temperature threshold market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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