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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?

апр. 4

апр. 5

апр. 6

апр. 7

апр. 4

апр. 5

апр. 6

апр. 7

12°C 32%

13°C 19%

11°C 14%

14°C 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

12°C 32%

13°C 19%

11°C 14%

14°C 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

7°C or below

$890 Объем

<1%

8°C

$831 Объем

1%

9°C

$679 Объем

3%

10°C

$729 Объем

7%

11°C

$642 Объем

14%

12°C

$1,001 Объем

32%

13°C

$641 Объем

19%

14°C

$588 Объем

18%

15°C

$676 Объем

11%

16°C

$864 Объем

8%

17°C or higher

$828 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 32% implied probability to a 12°C high in Seoul on April 6, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover from a weak frontal system and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance initially projected 16°C but has been discounted by traders due to increasing overcast conditions and 20-40% precipitation odds, aligning with a cooling trend after above-seasonal early April warmth. Key variables include cloud forcing timing, wind direction shifts (northerlies cooler, southerlies warmer), and model spread of 1-3°C; outcomes above 15°C require clearer skies, while below 11°C needs stronger cold air advection. Refined short-range forecasts from KMA expected April 4-5 will likely reduce uncertainty as the station resolves via Wunderground data from Incheon Airport. Historical early April highs average 13-14°C, contextualizing the clustered probabilities around 11-15°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,368
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 32% implied probability to a 12°C high in Seoul on April 6, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover from a weak frontal system and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance initially projected 16°C but has been discounted by traders due to increasing overcast conditions and 20-40% precipitation odds, aligning with a cooling trend after above-seasonal early April warmth. Key variables include cloud forcing timing, wind direction shifts (northerlies cooler, southerlies warmer), and model spread of 1-3°C; outcomes above 15°C require clearer skies, while below 11°C needs stronger cold air advection. Refined short-range forecasts from KMA expected April 4-5 will likely reduce uncertainty as the station resolves via Wunderground data from Incheon Airport. Historical early April highs average 13-14°C, contextualizing the clustered probabilities around 11-15°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,368
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C» с 32%, за ним следует «13°C» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 32¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?» — «12°C» с 32%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.