Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and converging 00Z/12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF models over the past 48 hours have driven trader consensus toward a high of 12–13°C in Seoul on April 5, down from earlier warmer projections near 14–15°C, reflecting a cooler air mass influenced by persistent upper-level troughing over the Korean Peninsula. Cloud cover persistence emerges as the key differentiator, potentially capping highs at 12°C by limiting solar heating (21.5% implied probability) versus partial clearing allowing 13°C (21.0%), amid early spring climatology where daily highs typically hover around 14°C. Traders await KMA updates and next model ensembles by April 4, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or cloud trends could tip outcomes between these tightly matched bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
14°C 16%
16°C or higher 13%
$24,082 Объем
$24,082 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
12%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
16%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
13%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
14°C 16%
16°C or higher 13%
$24,082 Объем
$24,082 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$2,317 Объем
<1%
7°C
$2,144 Объем
<1%
8°C
$2,139 Объем
1%
9°C
$1,836 Объем
4%
10°C
$2,612 Объем
4%
11°C
$2,859 Объем
12%
12°C
$1,621 Объем
23%
13°C
$1,531 Объем
21%
14°C
$1,473 Объем
16%
15°C
$2,390 Объем
10%
16°C or higher
$3,186 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and converging 00Z/12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF models over the past 48 hours have driven trader consensus toward a high of 12–13°C in Seoul on April 5, down from earlier warmer projections near 14–15°C, reflecting a cooler air mass influenced by persistent upper-level troughing over the Korean Peninsula. Cloud cover persistence emerges as the key differentiator, potentially capping highs at 12°C by limiting solar heating (21.5% implied probability) versus partial clearing allowing 13°C (21.0%), amid early spring climatology where daily highs typically hover around 14°C. Traders await KMA updates and next model ensembles by April 4, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or cloud trends could tip outcomes between these tightly matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$24,082Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and converging 00Z/12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF models over the past 48 hours have driven trader consensus toward a high of 12–13°C in Seoul on April 5, down from earlier warmer projections near 14–15°C, reflecting a cooler air mass influenced by persistent upper-level troughing over the Korean Peninsula. Cloud cover persistence emerges as the key differentiator, potentially capping highs at 12°C by limiting solar heating (21.5% implied probability) versus partial clearing allowing 13°C (21.0%), amid early spring climatology where daily highs typically hover around 14°C. Traders await KMA updates and next model ensembles by April 4, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or cloud trends could tip outcomes between these tightly matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$24,082Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and converging 00Z/12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF models over the past 48 hours have driven trader consensus toward a high of 12–13°C in Seoul on April 5, down from earlier warmer projections near 14–15°C, reflecting a cooler air mass influenced by persistent upper-level troughing over the Korean Peninsula. Cloud cover persistence emerges as the key differentiator, potentially capping highs at 12°C by limiting solar heating (21.5% implied probability) versus partial clearing allowing 13°C (21.0%), amid early spring climatology where daily highs typically hover around 14°C. Traders await KMA updates and next model ensembles by April 4, as small shifts in boundary layer mixing or cloud trends could tip outcomes between these tightly matched bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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