Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 4 highs near 15-17°C amid morning rain tapering to partly cloudy afternoons, fueling the closely matched trader consensus with 26.5% implied probability for 16°C, 25.5% for 15°C, and 22.7% for 17°C or higher. This spread stems from model ensemble uncertainty in rain-clearing timing, persistent cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 15°C, versus quicker breaks and southerly winds enabling 16-17°C under fuller insolation. Early April climatology averages 15-16°C highs, contextualizing the positioning absent major anomalies. Traders eye KMA hourly updates and station observations for final differentiation as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
15°C 26%
16°C 24%
17°C or higher 23.4%
14°C 16%
$69,148 Объем
$69,148 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
16%
15°C
26%
16°C
24%
17°C or higher
23%
15°C 26%
16°C 24%
17°C or higher 23.4%
14°C 16%
$69,148 Объем
$69,148 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$8,283 Объем
<1%
8°C
$4,637 Объем
<1%
9°C
$7,221 Объем
<1%
10°C
$6,439 Объем
<1%
11°C
$6,328 Объем
1%
12°C
$6,933 Объем
3%
13°C
$5,897 Объем
12%
14°C
$4,746 Объем
16%
15°C
$4,246 Объем
26%
16°C
$5,380 Объем
24%
17°C or higher
$9,657 Объем
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 4 highs near 15-17°C amid morning rain tapering to partly cloudy afternoons, fueling the closely matched trader consensus with 26.5% implied probability for 16°C, 25.5% for 15°C, and 22.7% for 17°C or higher. This spread stems from model ensemble uncertainty in rain-clearing timing, persistent cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 15°C, versus quicker breaks and southerly winds enabling 16-17°C under fuller insolation. Early April climatology averages 15-16°C highs, contextualizing the positioning absent major anomalies. Traders eye KMA hourly updates and station observations for final differentiation as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Объем
$69,148Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 4 highs near 15-17°C amid morning rain tapering to partly cloudy afternoons, fueling the closely matched trader consensus with 26.5% implied probability for 16°C, 25.5% for 15°C, and 22.7% for 17°C or higher. This spread stems from model ensemble uncertainty in rain-clearing timing, persistent cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 15°C, versus quicker breaks and southerly winds enabling 16-17°C under fuller insolation. Early April climatology averages 15-16°C highs, contextualizing the positioning absent major anomalies. Traders eye KMA hourly updates and station observations for final differentiation as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$69,148Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 4 highs near 15-17°C amid morning rain tapering to partly cloudy afternoons, fueling the closely matched trader consensus with 26.5% implied probability for 16°C, 25.5% for 15°C, and 22.7% for 17°C or higher. This spread stems from model ensemble uncertainty in rain-clearing timing, persistent cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 15°C, versus quicker breaks and southerly winds enabling 16-17°C under fuller insolation. Early April climatology averages 15-16°C highs, contextualizing the positioning absent major anomalies. Traders eye KMA hourly updates and station observations for final differentiation as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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