With trader consensus evenly split at 25.5% across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty four days ahead, recent Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) data shows unseasonably cool highs of 15-18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4-5 due to persistent haze, northerly winds amplifying sea breeze cooling, and partly cloudy skies capping insolation. Preliminary model ensembles suggest clustering around 21-23°C for April 8, matching early-April climatological averages of ~22°C with historical variability of ±4°C, but diverge on dust clearance, cloud cover, and wind shifts—westerly flows favoring cooler maritime air (15-20°C) versus clearer southerlies enabling continental warming (23°C+). IMS hourly updates will sharpen the outlook amid inherent spring transition volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 8?
19°C 32%
20°C 18%
17°C 17%
18°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
20%
20°C
18%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
9%
19°C 32%
20°C 18%
17°C 17%
18°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$171 Объем
1%
15°C
$0 Объем
4%
16°C
$0 Объем
9%
17°C
$0 Объем
17%
18°C
$0 Объем
17%
19°C
$31 Объем
20%
20°C
$0 Объем
18%
21°C
$0 Объем
16%
22°C
$0 Объем
14%
23°C
$0 Объем
10%
24°C or higher
$6 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With trader consensus evenly split at 25.5% across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty four days ahead, recent Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) data shows unseasonably cool highs of 15-18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4-5 due to persistent haze, northerly winds amplifying sea breeze cooling, and partly cloudy skies capping insolation. Preliminary model ensembles suggest clustering around 21-23°C for April 8, matching early-April climatological averages of ~22°C with historical variability of ±4°C, but diverge on dust clearance, cloud cover, and wind shifts—westerly flows favoring cooler maritime air (15-20°C) versus clearer southerlies enabling continental warming (23°C+). IMS hourly updates will sharpen the outlook amid inherent spring transition volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$208Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With trader consensus evenly split at 25.5% across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty four days ahead, recent Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) data shows unseasonably cool highs of 15-18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4-5 due to persistent haze, northerly winds amplifying sea breeze cooling, and partly cloudy skies capping insolation. Preliminary model ensembles suggest clustering around 21-23°C for April 8, matching early-April climatological averages of ~22°C with historical variability of ±4°C, but diverge on dust clearance, cloud cover, and wind shifts—westerly flows favoring cooler maritime air (15-20°C) versus clearer southerlies enabling continental warming (23°C+). IMS hourly updates will sharpen the outlook amid inherent spring transition volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$208Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With trader consensus evenly split at 25.5% across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty four days ahead, recent Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) data shows unseasonably cool highs of 15-18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4-5 due to persistent haze, northerly winds amplifying sea breeze cooling, and partly cloudy skies capping insolation. Preliminary model ensembles suggest clustering around 21-23°C for April 8, matching early-April climatological averages of ~22°C with historical variability of ±4°C, but diverge on dust clearance, cloud cover, and wind shifts—westerly flows favoring cooler maritime air (15-20°C) versus clearer southerlies enabling continental warming (23°C+). IMS hourly updates will sharpen the outlook amid inherent spring transition volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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