Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (35%) and 24°C (29.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks in this range amid hazy sunshine and light westerly sea breezes. Key differentiating factors include morning low stratus cloud persistence—prolonged haze could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while early clearing and stronger boundary layer mixing favor 24°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this mild spring pattern, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Hourly NOAA observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
23°C 40%
24°C 31%
22°C 15%
25°C 5.0%
$13,475 Объем
$13,475 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
40%
24°C
31%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 40%
24°C 31%
22°C 15%
25°C 5.0%
$13,475 Объем
$13,475 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$2,060 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,676 Объем
<1%
19°C
$915 Объем
<1%
20°C
$887 Объем
2%
21°C
$868 Объем
4%
22°C
$1,132 Объем
15%
23°C
$1,244 Объем
40%
24°C
$1,157 Объем
31%
25°C
$1,230 Объем
5%
26°C
$1,223 Объем
2%
27°C or higher
$1,084 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (35%) and 24°C (29.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks in this range amid hazy sunshine and light westerly sea breezes. Key differentiating factors include morning low stratus cloud persistence—prolonged haze could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while early clearing and stronger boundary layer mixing favor 24°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this mild spring pattern, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Hourly NOAA observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Объем
$13,475Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (35%) and 24°C (29.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks in this range amid hazy sunshine and light westerly sea breezes. Key differentiating factors include morning low stratus cloud persistence—prolonged haze could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while early clearing and stronger boundary layer mixing favor 24°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this mild spring pattern, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Hourly NOAA observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,475Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (35%) and 24°C (29.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks in this range amid hazy sunshine and light westerly sea breezes. Key differentiating factors include morning low stratus cloud persistence—prolonged haze could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while early clearing and stronger boundary layer mixing favor 24°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this mild spring pattern, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Hourly NOAA observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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