Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 7 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 7 апреля?
18°C 28%
19°C 22%
20°C 20%
21°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
8%
18°C
28%
19°C
22%
20°C
20%
21°C
16%
22°C
15%
23°C
16%
24°C или выше
10%
18°C 28%
19°C 22%
20°C 20%
21°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$1,107 Объем
1%
15°C
$0 Объем
6%
16°C
$0 Объем
6%
17°C
$0 Объем
8%
18°C
$6 Объем
28%
19°C
$0 Объем
22%
20°C
$0 Объем
20%
21°C
$0 Объем
16%
22°C
$34 Объем
15%
23°C
$0 Объем
16%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,147Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,147Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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