Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (35%) and 22°C (30.5%) as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicating daytime highs clustering around 21.5–22.5°C amid a cooling trend from recent unseasonably low temperatures across central Israel. The Israel Meteorological Service reports partly cloudy skies and northerly winds enhancing sea breeze effects, which cap peak heating by mixing cooler coastal air inland—key factors differentiating these close outcomes from warmer 23°C+ scenarios. Climatological early-April averages hover near 22–23°C, but persistent upper-level troughing suppresses advection of warmer air. Updated model runs expected by April 4 could refine this tight spread, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind shear often tip boundary-layer temperatures by 1°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 5 апреля?
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
11%
20°C
20%
21°C
32%
22°C
31%
23°C
13%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C или выше
1%
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$464 Объем
2%
17°C
$42 Объем
4%
18°C
$104 Объем
5%
19°C
$50 Объем
11%
20°C
$278 Объем
20%
21°C
$88 Объем
32%
22°C
$64 Объем
31%
23°C
$38 Объем
13%
24°C
$30 Объем
6%
25°C
$66 Объем
4%
26°C или выше
$199 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (35%) and 22°C (30.5%) as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicating daytime highs clustering around 21.5–22.5°C amid a cooling trend from recent unseasonably low temperatures across central Israel. The Israel Meteorological Service reports partly cloudy skies and northerly winds enhancing sea breeze effects, which cap peak heating by mixing cooler coastal air inland—key factors differentiating these close outcomes from warmer 23°C+ scenarios. Climatological early-April averages hover near 22–23°C, but persistent upper-level troughing suppresses advection of warmer air. Updated model runs expected by April 4 could refine this tight spread, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind shear often tip boundary-layer temperatures by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,375Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (35%) and 22°C (30.5%) as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicating daytime highs clustering around 21.5–22.5°C amid a cooling trend from recent unseasonably low temperatures across central Israel. The Israel Meteorological Service reports partly cloudy skies and northerly winds enhancing sea breeze effects, which cap peak heating by mixing cooler coastal air inland—key factors differentiating these close outcomes from warmer 23°C+ scenarios. Climatological early-April averages hover near 22–23°C, but persistent upper-level troughing suppresses advection of warmer air. Updated model runs expected by April 4 could refine this tight spread, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind shear often tip boundary-layer temperatures by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,375Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (35%) and 22°C (30.5%) as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicating daytime highs clustering around 21.5–22.5°C amid a cooling trend from recent unseasonably low temperatures across central Israel. The Israel Meteorological Service reports partly cloudy skies and northerly winds enhancing sea breeze effects, which cap peak heating by mixing cooler coastal air inland—key factors differentiating these close outcomes from warmer 23°C+ scenarios. Climatological early-April averages hover near 22–23°C, but persistent upper-level troughing suppresses advection of warmer air. Updated model runs expected by April 4 could refine this tight spread, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind shear often tip boundary-layer temperatures by 1°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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