Latest ensemble forecasts from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS indicate northerly winds steering cooler continental air into Moscow, capping highs around 7–9°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies and possible light precipitation, a sharp drop from mild 15–16°C peaks on April 2–4. This cooling trend reflects a synoptic shift from recent high-pressure warmth, with model consensus on suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and low-level moisture, though some divergence in wind shear and frontal timing creates tight trader sentiment across 6–9°C outcomes. Early April climatology supports these levels, averaging 6–10°C highs at Vnukovo Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. New model runs every 6–12 hours could refine probabilities before observations finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
7°C 29%
8°C 18%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
5°C or below
4%
6°C
14%
7°C
29%
8°C
18%
9°C
18%
10°C
9%
11°C
5%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 29%
8°C 18%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$622 Объем
4%
6°C
$321 Объем
14%
7°C
$317 Объем
29%
8°C
$408 Объем
18%
9°C
$490 Объем
18%
10°C
$344 Объем
9%
11°C
$272 Объем
5%
12°C
$1,139 Объем
3%
13°C
$1,398 Объем
1%
14°C
$1,521 Объем
1%
15°C or higher
$795 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS indicate northerly winds steering cooler continental air into Moscow, capping highs around 7–9°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies and possible light precipitation, a sharp drop from mild 15–16°C peaks on April 2–4. This cooling trend reflects a synoptic shift from recent high-pressure warmth, with model consensus on suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and low-level moisture, though some divergence in wind shear and frontal timing creates tight trader sentiment across 6–9°C outcomes. Early April climatology supports these levels, averaging 6–10°C highs at Vnukovo Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. New model runs every 6–12 hours could refine probabilities before observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
Объем
$7,584Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS indicate northerly winds steering cooler continental air into Moscow, capping highs around 7–9°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies and possible light precipitation, a sharp drop from mild 15–16°C peaks on April 2–4. This cooling trend reflects a synoptic shift from recent high-pressure warmth, with model consensus on suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and low-level moisture, though some divergence in wind shear and frontal timing creates tight trader sentiment across 6–9°C outcomes. Early April climatology supports these levels, averaging 6–10°C highs at Vnukovo Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. New model runs every 6–12 hours could refine probabilities before observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,584Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS indicate northerly winds steering cooler continental air into Moscow, capping highs around 7–9°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies and possible light precipitation, a sharp drop from mild 15–16°C peaks on April 2–4. This cooling trend reflects a synoptic shift from recent high-pressure warmth, with model consensus on suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and low-level moisture, though some divergence in wind shear and frontal timing creates tight trader sentiment across 6–9°C outcomes. Early April climatology supports these levels, averaging 6–10°C highs at Vnukovo Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. New model runs every 6–12 hours could refine probabilities before observations finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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