Latest forecasts from Yandex.Weather and international models like those on Yr.no and TimeandDate converge on a maximum temperature of 6–8°C in Moscow on April 5, amid overcast skies and light showers or rain, driving trader consensus toward "7°C or below" at 45% implied probability, with 8°C (23%) and 9°C (20.5%) close behind. This cooling follows northerly winds ushering a cooler air mass after highs near 18°C on April 2, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation inhibit solar heating. Early April climatological highs average 9–10°C, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued warmth. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains low, though exact peaks hinge on precip timing; watch daily updates from Russian Hydrometcenter and ECMWF/GFS model runs on April 4.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 5 апреля?
7°C или ниже 45%
8°C 23%
9°C 16%
11°C 12%
7°C или ниже
45%
8°C
23%
9°C
16%
10°C
10%
11°C
12%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
7°C или ниже 45%
8°C 23%
9°C 16%
11°C 12%
7°C или ниже
45%
8°C
23%
9°C
16%
10°C
10%
11°C
12%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Yandex.Weather and international models like those on Yr.no and TimeandDate converge on a maximum temperature of 6–8°C in Moscow on April 5, amid overcast skies and light showers or rain, driving trader consensus toward "7°C or below" at 45% implied probability, with 8°C (23%) and 9°C (20.5%) close behind. This cooling follows northerly winds ushering a cooler air mass after highs near 18°C on April 2, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation inhibit solar heating. Early April climatological highs average 9–10°C, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued warmth. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains low, though exact peaks hinge on precip timing; watch daily updates from Russian Hydrometcenter and ECMWF/GFS model runs on April 4.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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