Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 17°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability, as a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show strong agreement on these levels, with minor risks from early sprinkles or increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 16°C (18.5%). Observations from Paris-Montsouris station on April 3 reached around 14°C, aligning with steady spring warming trends. Final hourly data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 81%
16°C 15%
15°C 3.4%
14°C 2.0%
$22,342 Объем
$22,342 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
81%
17°C or higher 81%
16°C 15%
15°C 3.4%
14°C 2.0%
$22,342 Объем
$22,342 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 17°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability, as a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show strong agreement on these levels, with minor risks from early sprinkles or increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 16°C (18.5%). Observations from Paris-Montsouris station on April 3 reached around 14°C, aligning with steady spring warming trends. Final hourly data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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