Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 under persistent cloudy and changeable conditions, driving trader consensus toward 16°C at 31.5% implied probability amid high uncertainty from model spread. This reflects early spring variability, with historical April 6 averages near 15°C, but outcomes hinge on cloud cover evolution, upper-level winds steering cooler Atlantic air, and potential ridging for brief warming. Lower temperatures (14°C or below at 15.5%) gain traction if northerlies strengthen, while 17–18°C (19.0% and 13.5%) requires southerly flow and solar heating; daily model updates through April 5 will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 33%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
14°C or below 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
16%
15°C
18%
16°C
33%
17°C
21%
18°C
14%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 33%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
14°C or below 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$336 Объем
16%
15°C
$173 Объем
18%
16°C
$376 Объем
33%
17°C
$196 Объем
21%
18°C
$275 Объем
14%
19°C
$929 Объем
9%
20°C
$181 Объем
4%
21°C
$130 Объем
2%
22°C
$175 Объем
1%
23°C
$151 Объем
1%
24°C or higher
$492 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 under persistent cloudy and changeable conditions, driving trader consensus toward 16°C at 31.5% implied probability amid high uncertainty from model spread. This reflects early spring variability, with historical April 6 averages near 15°C, but outcomes hinge on cloud cover evolution, upper-level winds steering cooler Atlantic air, and potential ridging for brief warming. Lower temperatures (14°C or below at 15.5%) gain traction if northerlies strengthen, while 17–18°C (19.0% and 13.5%) requires southerly flow and solar heating; daily model updates through April 5 will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Объем
$3,414Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 under persistent cloudy and changeable conditions, driving trader consensus toward 16°C at 31.5% implied probability amid high uncertainty from model spread. This reflects early spring variability, with historical April 6 averages near 15°C, but outcomes hinge on cloud cover evolution, upper-level winds steering cooler Atlantic air, and potential ridging for brief warming. Lower temperatures (14°C or below at 15.5%) gain traction if northerlies strengthen, while 17–18°C (19.0% and 13.5%) requires southerly flow and solar heating; daily model updates through April 5 will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,414Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble models, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 under persistent cloudy and changeable conditions, driving trader consensus toward 16°C at 31.5% implied probability amid high uncertainty from model spread. This reflects early spring variability, with historical April 6 averages near 15°C, but outcomes hinge on cloud cover evolution, upper-level winds steering cooler Atlantic air, and potential ridging for brief warming. Lower temperatures (14°C or below at 15.5%) gain traction if northerlies strengthen, while 17–18°C (19.0% and 13.5%) requires southerly flow and solar heating; daily model updates through April 5 will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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