The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated amid mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and moderate southerly winds, projects daytime highs of 23-27°C for April 4, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for a 26°C maximum at the Observatory station. Current observations confirm peaks near 26°C earlier today, with evening air temperatures holding at 24°C across urban sites as of 8 p.m. HKT and past 24-hour maxima aligning closely at key stations. April climatology averages 26°C daytime highs, bolstered by above-normal seasonal outlooks and model consensus for stable southerly flow. Realistic challenges include brief clearing pushing to 27°C or heavier showers capping at 25°C, with final hourly readings expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
26°C 99.5%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$118,355 Объем
$118,355 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.5%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$118,355 Объем
$118,355 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$5,018 Объем
<1%
20°C
$5,384 Объем
<1%
21°C
$3,914 Объем
<1%
22°C
$5,457 Объем
<1%
23°C
$8,593 Объем
<1%
24°C
$15,215 Объем
<1%
25°C
$25,308 Объем
<1%
26°C
$16,649 Объем
100%
27°C
$17,351 Объем
<1%
28°C
$8,766 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$6,701 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated amid mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and moderate southerly winds, projects daytime highs of 23-27°C for April 4, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for a 26°C maximum at the Observatory station. Current observations confirm peaks near 26°C earlier today, with evening air temperatures holding at 24°C across urban sites as of 8 p.m. HKT and past 24-hour maxima aligning closely at key stations. April climatology averages 26°C daytime highs, bolstered by above-normal seasonal outlooks and model consensus for stable southerly flow. Realistic challenges include brief clearing pushing to 27°C or heavier showers capping at 25°C, with final hourly readings expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Объем
$118,355Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated amid mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and moderate southerly winds, projects daytime highs of 23-27°C for April 4, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for a 26°C maximum at the Observatory station. Current observations confirm peaks near 26°C earlier today, with evening air temperatures holding at 24°C across urban sites as of 8 p.m. HKT and past 24-hour maxima aligning closely at key stations. April climatology averages 26°C daytime highs, bolstered by above-normal seasonal outlooks and model consensus for stable southerly flow. Realistic challenges include brief clearing pushing to 27°C or heavier showers capping at 25°C, with final hourly readings expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$118,355Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated amid mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and moderate southerly winds, projects daytime highs of 23-27°C for April 4, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for a 26°C maximum at the Observatory station. Current observations confirm peaks near 26°C earlier today, with evening air temperatures holding at 24°C across urban sites as of 8 p.m. HKT and past 24-hour maxima aligning closely at key stations. April climatology averages 26°C daytime highs, bolstered by above-normal seasonal outlooks and model consensus for stable southerly flow. Realistic challenges include brief clearing pushing to 27°C or heavier showers capping at 25°C, with final hourly readings expected by midnight to confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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