Trader consensus favors 14°C (38.5%) slightly over 13°C (33.5%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 4 at Chopin Airport, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means near 13.5°C with a typical ±2°C spread for short-range forecasts. IMGW guidance projects a max of about 13°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds (6-23 km/h), limiting insolation and capping peaks, while variable cloud breaks could push toward 14°C via enhanced solar heating. Current cool air mass (April 3 highs ~6°C) and boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty, with new model runs overnight and real-time observations key to resolution via official Wunderground data. Historical early-April averages (~12-13°C) align with this tight clustering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4?
14°C 38%
13°C 34%
15°C 15%
12°C 11%
$19,754 Объем
$19,754 Объем
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
11%
13°C
34%
14°C
38%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 38%
13°C 34%
15°C 15%
12°C 11%
$19,754 Объем
$19,754 Объем
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
11%
13°C
34%
14°C
38%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 14°C (38.5%) slightly over 13°C (33.5%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 4 at Chopin Airport, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means near 13.5°C with a typical ±2°C spread for short-range forecasts. IMGW guidance projects a max of about 13°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds (6-23 km/h), limiting insolation and capping peaks, while variable cloud breaks could push toward 14°C via enhanced solar heating. Current cool air mass (April 3 highs ~6°C) and boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty, with new model runs overnight and real-time observations key to resolution via official Wunderground data. Historical early-April averages (~12-13°C) align with this tight clustering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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