**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 2 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 2 апреля?
12°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 Объем
$510,657 Объем
8°C или ниже
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C или выше
Нет
12°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 Объем
$510,657 Объем
8°C или ниже
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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