Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Milan's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Weather Underground records from Malpensa International Airport station (LIMC) confirming a peak of 18°C during afternoon hours amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with National Weather Service analogs and ECMWF model outputs predicting mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, where early April highs typically range 16–20°C based on 30-year climatology. Direct station observations via METAR reports provide robust evidence, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor malfunction or audit, unlikely given standardized measurement protocols; final resolution awaits Wunderground's daily history confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 2?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$113,727 Объем
$113,727 Объем
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$113,727 Объем
$113,727 Объем
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Milan's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Weather Underground records from Malpensa International Airport station (LIMC) confirming a peak of 18°C during afternoon hours amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with National Weather Service analogs and ECMWF model outputs predicting mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, where early April highs typically range 16–20°C based on 30-year climatology. Direct station observations via METAR reports provide robust evidence, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor malfunction or audit, unlikely given standardized measurement protocols; final resolution awaits Wunderground's daily history confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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