Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 54%
22°C 32%
23°C or higher 11.5%
20°C 6%
$34,190 Объем
$34,190 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
54%
22°C
32%
23°C or higher
12%
21°C 54%
22°C 32%
23°C or higher 11.5%
20°C 6%
$34,190 Объем
$34,190 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
14°C
$1,652 Объем
<1%
15°C
$3,866 Объем
<1%
16°C
$3,039 Объем
<1%
17°C
$2,124 Объем
<1%
18°C
$2,996 Объем
1%
19°C
$4,157 Объем
1%
20°C
$2,550 Объем
6%
21°C
$2,874 Объем
54%
22°C
$2,428 Объем
32%
23°C or higher
$5,605 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Объем
$34,190Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$34,190Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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