Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts from the past 24 hours indicate peak highs of 22–23°C at Milano Linate Airport on April 5, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and ample sunshine over northern Italy. This setup exceeds the early April climatological average of 17–18°C, with low precipitation risk (under 10%) and light winds (4–6 mph) maximizing daytime heating through enhanced insolation. The razor-thin spread between 22°C (26.5%) and 23°C (30.5%) reflects model discrepancies—GFS slightly warmer, ECMWF cooler—plus uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover and urban heat effects. Watch 12Z model updates tomorrow for potential shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
23°C 32%
22°C 27%
24°C 14%
21°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
14%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
6%
23°C 32%
22°C 27%
24°C 14%
21°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
14%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts from the past 24 hours indicate peak highs of 22–23°C at Milano Linate Airport on April 5, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and ample sunshine over northern Italy. This setup exceeds the early April climatological average of 17–18°C, with low precipitation risk (under 10%) and light winds (4–6 mph) maximizing daytime heating through enhanced insolation. The razor-thin spread between 22°C (26.5%) and 23°C (30.5%) reflects model discrepancies—GFS slightly warmer, ECMWF cooler—plus uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover and urban heat effects. Watch 12Z model updates tomorrow for potential shifts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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