Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C or higher 26%
20°C 6%
$17,584 Объем
$17,584 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C or higher 26%
20°C 6%
$17,584 Объем
$17,584 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$2,389 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,295 Объем
<1%
15°C
$2,221 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,849 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,359 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,414 Объем
3%
19°C
$1,349 Объем
5%
20°C
$1,131 Объем
6%
21°C
$1,206 Объем
31%
22°C
$981 Объем
33%
23°C or higher
$1,390 Объем
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Объем
$17,584Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,584Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (31%), 22°C (33%), and 23°C or higher (26.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 21°C amid divergent member runs—some forecasting lighter winds and upper-level subsidence to boost peaks toward 23°C under clear skies. A high-pressure ridge over Italy promises ample sunshine and mild southerly advection for above-average heating in the Po Valley, where April highs typically average 17°C but can spike during anticyclonic blocks. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing, urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, and boundary-layer mixing; overnight model updates from the Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF will likely sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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