Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 28%
7°C 20%
5°C 19%
4°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
7%
4°C
10%
5°C
19%
6°C
28%
7°C
20%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C or higher
6%
6°C 28%
7°C 20%
5°C 19%
4°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
0°C or below
$893 Объем
<1%
1°C
$432 Объем
1%
2°C
$326 Объем
3%
3°C
$283 Объем
7%
4°C
$488 Объем
10%
5°C
$278 Объем
19%
6°C
$456 Объем
28%
7°C
$399 Объем
20%
8°C
$363 Объем
10%
9°C
$400 Объем
5%
10°C or higher
$1,150 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$5,470Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,470Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 3, calls for Toronto's highest temperature on April 6 to reach plus 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, reflecting a post-frontal cooling trend after heavy rain from a strong cold front sweeps through over the April 4-5 weekend. This aligns with trader sentiment clustering around 5-7°C outcomes at 19-28% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble spreads in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, which diverge by 2-3°C due to uncertainties in clearing timing, northerly wind speeds, and boundary layer mixing. Historical April highs in Toronto average 11°C, but persistent cool upper-air patterns suppress warming; watch for morning forecast updates on April 4-5, as new model runs could shift the balance amid typical spring volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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