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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?

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22°C or higher 81%

19°C 25%

21°C 19%

17°C 1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

22°C or higher 81%

19°C 25%

21°C 19%

17°C 1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

12°C or below

$188 Объем

1%

13°C

$165 Объем

1%

14°C

$141 Объем

1%

15°C

$250 Объем

1%

16°C

$250 Объем

1%

17°C

$3 Объем

8%

18°C

$3 Объем

8%

19°C

$8 Объем

25%

20°C

$3 Объем

17%

21°C

$3 Объем

19%

22°C or higher

$142 Объем

67%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,159
Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport reaching 22°C or higher on April 8, aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies. This follows a warm early-April pattern with highs near 26–28°C through April 5, a brief cooldown to 21°C on April 6 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, and rebound to 22–23°C per CMA and supporting models like CustomWeather (22°C high). April climatology supports averages around 22°C, with low precipitation risk (1%) boosting confidence in the upper-20s range, though daily CMA updates could shift odds as model ensembles refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,159
Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «22°C or higher» с 67%, за ним следует «19°C» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 67¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?» — «22°C or higher» с 67%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Следующий ближайший исход — «19°C» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 8?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.