Latest ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) shows Chicago's projected high temperature on April 8 spanning 42-55°F, fueling trader sentiment clustered around the upper 40s to low 50s. Following an unseasonably cool early April with highs near 40°F—15°F below normal amid persistent cloud cover, cold fronts, and severe thunderstorm threats—models now depict potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging that could nudge temperatures toward climatological norms of 56°F, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable trough-ridge patterns. National Weather Service updates and new model runs through April 6-7 will refine land surface conditions and boundary layer influences critical to the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
50°F or higher 50%
48-49°F 12%
36-37°F 7.8%
42-43°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
31°F or below
3%
32-33°F
3%
34-35°F
3%
36-37°F
8%
38-39°F
5%
40-41°F
5%
42-43°F
8%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
12%
50°F or higher
50%
50°F or higher 50%
48-49°F 12%
36-37°F 7.8%
42-43°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
31°F or below
$25 Объем
3%
32-33°F
$20 Объем
3%
34-35°F
$20 Объем
3%
36-37°F
$210 Объем
8%
38-39°F
$8 Объем
5%
40-41°F
$8 Объем
5%
42-43°F
$8 Объем
8%
44-45°F
$8 Объем
8%
46-47°F
$0 Объем
7%
48-49°F
$0 Объем
12%
50°F or higher
$89 Объем
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) shows Chicago's projected high temperature on April 8 spanning 42-55°F, fueling trader sentiment clustered around the upper 40s to low 50s. Following an unseasonably cool early April with highs near 40°F—15°F below normal amid persistent cloud cover, cold fronts, and severe thunderstorm threats—models now depict potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging that could nudge temperatures toward climatological norms of 56°F, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable trough-ridge patterns. National Weather Service updates and new model runs through April 6-7 will refine land surface conditions and boundary layer influences critical to the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$394Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) shows Chicago's projected high temperature on April 8 spanning 42-55°F, fueling trader sentiment clustered around the upper 40s to low 50s. Following an unseasonably cool early April with highs near 40°F—15°F below normal amid persistent cloud cover, cold fronts, and severe thunderstorm threats—models now depict potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging that could nudge temperatures toward climatological norms of 56°F, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable trough-ridge patterns. National Weather Service updates and new model runs through April 6-7 will refine land surface conditions and boundary layer influences critical to the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$394Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) shows Chicago's projected high temperature on April 8 spanning 42-55°F, fueling trader sentiment clustered around the upper 40s to low 50s. Following an unseasonably cool early April with highs near 40°F—15°F below normal amid persistent cloud cover, cold fronts, and severe thunderstorm threats—models now depict potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging that could nudge temperatures toward climatological norms of 56°F, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable trough-ridge patterns. National Weather Service updates and new model runs through April 6-7 will refine land surface conditions and boundary layer influences critical to the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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