National Weather Service forecasts a high near 57°F at Chicago O'Hare on April 4 under mostly cloudy skies with breezy conditions following overnight showers, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 57°F or below (27.5% implied probability) and 58-59°F (23%) outcomes. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models clusters projected highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, though 10-15°F spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover persistence, boundary layer mixing, and the timing of any lingering frontal boundaries. This follows April 1's anomalously cool 39°F high amid a volatile spring pattern, with climatological normals at 54.4°F providing baseline context. Traders eye today's 12z model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 4?
57°F or below 34%
58-59°F 22%
60-61°F 18%
62-63°F 18%
$47,560 Объем
$47,560 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
57°F or below
34%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 34%
58-59°F 22%
60-61°F 18%
62-63°F 18%
$47,560 Объем
$47,560 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
57°F or below
$5,646 Объем
34%
58-59°F
$3,578 Объем
22%
60-61°F
$4,185 Объем
18%
62-63°F
$3,718 Объем
18%
64-65°F
$3,387 Объем
10%
66-67°F
$3,836 Объем
5%
68-69°F
$5,216 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$4,459 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$6,145 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$2,462 Объем
<1%
76°F or higher
$4,941 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts a high near 57°F at Chicago O'Hare on April 4 under mostly cloudy skies with breezy conditions following overnight showers, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 57°F or below (27.5% implied probability) and 58-59°F (23%) outcomes. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models clusters projected highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, though 10-15°F spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover persistence, boundary layer mixing, and the timing of any lingering frontal boundaries. This follows April 1's anomalously cool 39°F high amid a volatile spring pattern, with climatological normals at 54.4°F providing baseline context. Traders eye today's 12z model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$47,560Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts a high near 57°F at Chicago O'Hare on April 4 under mostly cloudy skies with breezy conditions following overnight showers, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 57°F or below (27.5% implied probability) and 58-59°F (23%) outcomes. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models clusters projected highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, though 10-15°F spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover persistence, boundary layer mixing, and the timing of any lingering frontal boundaries. This follows April 1's anomalously cool 39°F high amid a volatile spring pattern, with climatological normals at 54.4°F providing baseline context. Traders eye today's 12z model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$47,560Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts a high near 57°F at Chicago O'Hare on April 4 under mostly cloudy skies with breezy conditions following overnight showers, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 57°F or below (27.5% implied probability) and 58-59°F (23%) outcomes. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models clusters projected highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, though 10-15°F spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover persistence, boundary layer mixing, and the timing of any lingering frontal boundaries. This follows April 1's anomalously cool 39°F high amid a volatile spring pattern, with climatological normals at 54.4°F providing baseline context. Traders eye today's 12z model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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