MetService's latest forecast, updated this afternoon on April 3, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 18°C (29.5%) and 19°C (28.5%) as top outcomes. Persistent northerly flow is advecting warmer maritime air, boosting temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, but cloud cover, shower potential, and the wind shift introduce uncertainty that differentiates lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C. Forecast models show tight ensemble spread around 18–19°C, reflecting inherent short-range variability; traders await tomorrow's refined guidance and April 4 observations for potential shifts ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
19°C 30%
18°C 29%
17°C 17%
20°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$10,512 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,512 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
29%
19°C
30%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
6%
19°C 30%
18°C 29%
17°C 17%
20°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$10,512 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,512 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$2,682 Объем
<1%
12°C
$930 Объем
<1%
13°C
$907 Объем
1%
14°C
$1,139 Объем
<1%
15°C
$479 Объем
2%
16°C
$1,012 Объем
6%
17°C
$535 Объем
17%
18°C
$711 Объем
29%
19°C
$597 Объем
30%
20°C
$638 Объем
14%
21°C or higher
$882 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated this afternoon on April 3, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 18°C (29.5%) and 19°C (28.5%) as top outcomes. Persistent northerly flow is advecting warmer maritime air, boosting temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, but cloud cover, shower potential, and the wind shift introduce uncertainty that differentiates lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C. Forecast models show tight ensemble spread around 18–19°C, reflecting inherent short-range variability; traders await tomorrow's refined guidance and April 4 observations for potential shifts ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$10,512Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated this afternoon on April 3, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 18°C (29.5%) and 19°C (28.5%) as top outcomes. Persistent northerly flow is advecting warmer maritime air, boosting temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, but cloud cover, shower potential, and the wind shift introduce uncertainty that differentiates lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C. Forecast models show tight ensemble spread around 18–19°C, reflecting inherent short-range variability; traders await tomorrow's refined guidance and April 4 observations for potential shifts ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,512Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, updated this afternoon on April 3, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers and northerlies turning southeasterly, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 18°C (29.5%) and 19°C (28.5%) as top outcomes. Persistent northerly flow is advecting warmer maritime air, boosting temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, but cloud cover, shower potential, and the wind shift introduce uncertainty that differentiates lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C. Forecast models show tight ensemble spread around 18–19°C, reflecting inherent short-range variability; traders await tomorrow's refined guidance and April 4 observations for potential shifts ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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