The latest CDC FluSurv-NET data for Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026) reported a cumulative influenza hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population—third highest since 2010—driving trader consensus toward the 80–85 outcome at 87.5% implied probability, as weekly rates fell to 1.1 per 100,000 amid declining national flu activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Preliminary figures as of March 28 show only modest increases to 28,814 lab-confirmed hospitalizations across monitored sites, aligning with FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops to 0.46 new admissions per 100,000 nationally through mid-April. Declining outpatient visits (2.9% below baseline) and low transmission reinforce stability, though reporting delays could prompt minor revisions in the upcoming Week 13 FluView report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?
80–85 94%
85–90 3.8%
<70 2.7%
90+ 1.5%
<70
3%
70–75
1%
75–80
1%
80–85
94%
85–90
4%
90+
2%
80–85 94%
85–90 3.8%
<70 2.7%
90+ 1.5%
<70
3%
70–75
1%
75–80
1%
80–85
94%
85–90
4%
90+
2%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest CDC FluSurv-NET data for Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026) reported a cumulative influenza hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population—third highest since 2010—driving trader consensus toward the 80–85 outcome at 87.5% implied probability, as weekly rates fell to 1.1 per 100,000 amid declining national flu activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Preliminary figures as of March 28 show only modest increases to 28,814 lab-confirmed hospitalizations across monitored sites, aligning with FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops to 0.46 new admissions per 100,000 nationally through mid-April. Declining outpatient visits (2.9% below baseline) and low transmission reinforce stability, though reporting delays could prompt minor revisions in the upcoming Week 13 FluView report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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