National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles place Houston's April 5 high temperature near 70°F, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes, with 70-71°F leading at 25%. A cold front advancing Saturday will replace recent southerly winds and 80s°F highs—seen April 2-3—with northerly breezes, persistent cloud cover, and lingering showers or thunderstorms south of I-10, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 78°F. Close probabilities reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, post-frontal clearing, and convective mixing; stronger storms could cap highs at 68-69°F, while quicker stabilization favors 72-73°F. Watch afternoon model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
16%
76°F or higher
13%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
57°F or below
$586 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$684 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$218 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$185 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$174 Объем
2%
66-67°F
$458 Объем
5%
68-69°F
$462 Объем
21%
70-71°F
$458 Объем
25%
72-73°F
$237 Объем
22%
74-75°F
$242 Объем
16%
76°F or higher
$791 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles place Houston's April 5 high temperature near 70°F, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes, with 70-71°F leading at 25%. A cold front advancing Saturday will replace recent southerly winds and 80s°F highs—seen April 2-3—with northerly breezes, persistent cloud cover, and lingering showers or thunderstorms south of I-10, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 78°F. Close probabilities reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, post-frontal clearing, and convective mixing; stronger storms could cap highs at 68-69°F, while quicker stabilization favors 72-73°F. Watch afternoon model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Объем
$4,495Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles place Houston's April 5 high temperature near 70°F, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes, with 70-71°F leading at 25%. A cold front advancing Saturday will replace recent southerly winds and 80s°F highs—seen April 2-3—with northerly breezes, persistent cloud cover, and lingering showers or thunderstorms south of I-10, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 78°F. Close probabilities reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, post-frontal clearing, and convective mixing; stronger storms could cap highs at 68-69°F, while quicker stabilization favors 72-73°F. Watch afternoon model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,495Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles place Houston's April 5 high temperature near 70°F, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes, with 70-71°F leading at 25%. A cold front advancing Saturday will replace recent southerly winds and 80s°F highs—seen April 2-3—with northerly breezes, persistent cloud cover, and lingering showers or thunderstorms south of I-10, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 78°F. Close probabilities reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, post-frontal clearing, and convective mixing; stronger storms could cap highs at 68-69°F, while quicker stabilization favors 72-73°F. Watch afternoon model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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