Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 17°C as the highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 2, 2026, driven by official AEMET observational data from the airport's automated station confirming a midday peak of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and cool northerly winds suppressing highs below seasonal norms of around 18°C. Hourly measurements tracked steady temperatures from morning lows near 6°C, with no spikes exceeding 17°C by day's end, aligning with pre-event forecast model consensus from AEMET predicting 17–19°C amid stable atmospheric conditions. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions during AEMET quality control or discrepancies in final validated records, though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 2?
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$99,309 Объем
$99,309 Объем
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$99,309 Объем
$99,309 Объем
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 17°C as the highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 2, 2026, driven by official AEMET observational data from the airport's automated station confirming a midday peak of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and cool northerly winds suppressing highs below seasonal norms of around 18°C. Hourly measurements tracked steady temperatures from morning lows near 6°C, with no spikes exceeding 17°C by day's end, aligning with pre-event forecast model consensus from AEMET predicting 17–19°C amid stable atmospheric conditions. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions during AEMET quality control or discrepancies in final validated records, though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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