Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (41.5%) and 21°C (40.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 22°C around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia that enhances afternoon insolation and suppresses cloud development. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly at 21-22°C, reflecting minimal model spread but uncertainty from high-cloud variability and boundary-layer mixing during peak heating hours (2-5 PM). Yesterday's maximum reached 20.2°C at Retiro station, aligning with above-normal April climatology (historical average ~19°C). Hourly data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport will resolve the market by evening, with light northerly winds as a potential differentiator.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
22°C 43%
21°C 39%
20°C 12%
23°C 10%
$25,524 Объем
$25,524 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
39%
22°C
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
21°C 39%
20°C 12%
23°C 10%
$25,524 Объем
$25,524 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$2,577 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,538 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,569 Объем
<1%
19°C
$4,202 Объем
1%
20°C
$3,136 Объем
12%
21°C
$2,503 Объем
39%
22°C
$2,797 Объем
43%
23°C
$2,756 Объем
10%
24°C
$1,575 Объем
1%
25°C
$1,257 Объем
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,615 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (41.5%) and 21°C (40.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 22°C around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia that enhances afternoon insolation and suppresses cloud development. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly at 21-22°C, reflecting minimal model spread but uncertainty from high-cloud variability and boundary-layer mixing during peak heating hours (2-5 PM). Yesterday's maximum reached 20.2°C at Retiro station, aligning with above-normal April climatology (historical average ~19°C). Hourly data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport will resolve the market by evening, with light northerly winds as a potential differentiator.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
Объем
$25,524Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (41.5%) and 21°C (40.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 22°C around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia that enhances afternoon insolation and suppresses cloud development. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly at 21-22°C, reflecting minimal model spread but uncertainty from high-cloud variability and boundary-layer mixing during peak heating hours (2-5 PM). Yesterday's maximum reached 20.2°C at Retiro station, aligning with above-normal April climatology (historical average ~19°C). Hourly data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport will resolve the market by evening, with light northerly winds as a potential differentiator.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,524Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (41.5%) and 21°C (40.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 22°C around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia that enhances afternoon insolation and suppresses cloud development. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly at 21-22°C, reflecting minimal model spread but uncertainty from high-cloud variability and boundary-layer mixing during peak heating hours (2-5 PM). Yesterday's maximum reached 20.2°C at Retiro station, aligning with above-normal April climatology (historical average ~19°C). Hourly data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport will resolve the market by evening, with light northerly winds as a potential differentiator.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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