National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F for Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders align with this consensus guidance. This positioning stems from a persistent high pressure ridge over the Southwest, promoting subsidence and clear conditions for maximum daytime insolation following a record-shattering March heat dome that pushed regional temperatures 20-30°F above normal. April climatological norms hover around 74°F downtown, making 81°F notably anomalous yet consistent with ongoing above-normal trends in NOAA outlooks. Uncertainties remain from potential marine layer intrusion or model shifts; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at official stations like LAX or USC.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
80°F or higher 75%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 6%
74-75°F 4.5%
$22,524 Объем
$22,524 Объем
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
75%
80°F or higher 75%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 6%
74-75°F 4.5%
$22,524 Объем
$22,524 Объем
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F for Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders align with this consensus guidance. This positioning stems from a persistent high pressure ridge over the Southwest, promoting subsidence and clear conditions for maximum daytime insolation following a record-shattering March heat dome that pushed regional temperatures 20-30°F above normal. April climatological norms hover around 74°F downtown, making 81°F notably anomalous yet consistent with ongoing above-normal trends in NOAA outlooks. Uncertainties remain from potential marine layer intrusion or model shifts; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at official stations like LAX or USC.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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