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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?

80°F or higher 75%

78-79°F 17%

76-77°F 6%

74-75°F 4.5%

Polymarket

$22,524 Объем

80°F or higher 75%

78-79°F 17%

76-77°F 6%

74-75°F 4.5%

Polymarket

$22,524 Объем

61°F or below

$3,915 Объем

<1%

62-63°F

$1,929 Объем

<1%

64-65°F

$1,756 Объем

<1%

66-67°F

$2,167 Объем

<1%

68-69°F

$2,315 Объем

1%

70-71°F

$3,690 Объем

1%

72-73°F

$2,034 Объем

2%

74-75°F

$1,171 Объем

5%

76-77°F

$1,251 Объем

6%

78-79°F

$891 Объем

17%

80°F or higher

$1,872 Объем

75%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F for Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders align with this consensus guidance. This positioning stems from a persistent high pressure ridge over the Southwest, promoting subsidence and clear conditions for maximum daytime insolation following a record-shattering March heat dome that pushed regional temperatures 20-30°F above normal. April climatological norms hover around 74°F downtown, making 81°F notably anomalous yet consistent with ongoing above-normal trends in NOAA outlooks. Uncertainties remain from potential marine layer intrusion or model shifts; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at official stations like LAX or USC.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$22,524
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F for Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders align with this consensus guidance. This positioning stems from a persistent high pressure ridge over the Southwest, promoting subsidence and clear conditions for maximum daytime insolation following a record-shattering March heat dome that pushed regional temperatures 20-30°F above normal. April climatological norms hover around 74°F downtown, making 81°F notably anomalous yet consistent with ongoing above-normal trends in NOAA outlooks. Uncertainties remain from potential marine layer intrusion or model shifts; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution at official stations like LAX or USC.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$22,524
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «80°F or higher» с 75%, за ним следует «78-79°F» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 75¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $22.5K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?» — «80°F or higher» с 75%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Следующий ближайший исход — «78-79°F» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.