Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 15 июля?
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,498 Объем
$91,498 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,498 Объем
$91,498 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$21,747 Объем
Yes
29°C
$14,532 Объем
No
30°C
$10,795 Объем
No
31°C
$8,697 Объем
No
32°C
$9,163 Объем
No
33°C
$7,668 Объем
No
34°C
$7,782 Объем
No
35°C
$5,732 Объем
No
36°C
$1,071 Объем
No
37°C
$2,823 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$1,488 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Объем
$91,498Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$91,498Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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