Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$51,610 Объем
$51,610 Объем
10°C or below
No
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Да
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$51,610 Объем
$51,610 Объем
10°C or below
No
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Да
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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