Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Объем
$250,697 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Да
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Объем
$250,697 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Да
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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