Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,457 Объем
$65,457 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,457 Объем
$65,457 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
$1,111 Объем
No
11°C
$912 Объем
No
12°C
$1,548 Объем
No
13°C
$13,884 Объем
No
14°C
$4,245 Объем
No
15°C
$15,696 Объем
No
16°C
$4,937 Объем
No
17°C
$11,511 Объем
Yes
18°C
$7,170 Объем
No
19°C
$3,251 Объем
No
20°C or higher
$1,193 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$65,457Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$65,457Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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