Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 33–34°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wuhan on August 17, reflecting the region's subtropical monsoon climate with typical August highs near 32–35°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent runs show scattered thundery showers and light northeasterly winds that may limit peak heating by reducing insolation, while steering patterns keep the city under warm, moist air masses. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on timing of convection introduce uncertainty, supporting the market's emphasis on these two outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and afternoon observations on August 16 will further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 17 августа?
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
32%
34°C
44%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$11 Объем
<1%
29°C
$6 Объем
1%
30°C
$15 Объем
2%
31°C
$31 Объем
3%
32°C
$157 Объем
8%
33°C
$88 Объем
32%
34°C
$544 Объем
44%
35°C
$96 Объем
14%
36°C
$107 Объем
3%
37°C
$15 Объем
2%
38°C or higher
$49 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 33–34°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wuhan on August 17, reflecting the region's subtropical monsoon climate with typical August highs near 32–35°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent runs show scattered thundery showers and light northeasterly winds that may limit peak heating by reducing insolation, while steering patterns keep the city under warm, moist air masses. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on timing of convection introduce uncertainty, supporting the market's emphasis on these two outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and afternoon observations on August 16 will further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Объем
$1,119Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 33–34°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wuhan on August 17, reflecting the region's subtropical monsoon climate with typical August highs near 32–35°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent runs show scattered thundery showers and light northeasterly winds that may limit peak heating by reducing insolation, while steering patterns keep the city under warm, moist air masses. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on timing of convection introduce uncertainty, supporting the market's emphasis on these two outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and afternoon observations on August 16 will further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,119Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 33–34°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wuhan on August 17, reflecting the region's subtropical monsoon climate with typical August highs near 32–35°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent runs show scattered thundery showers and light northeasterly winds that may limit peak heating by reducing insolation, while steering patterns keep the city under warm, moist air masses. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on timing of convection introduce uncertainty, supporting the market's emphasis on these two outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and afternoon observations on August 16 will further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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