Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 17 августа?
29°C 46%
28°C 30%
30°C 16%
27°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
46%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
1%
29°C 46%
28°C 30%
30°C 16%
27°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$92 Объем
<1%
24°C
$16 Объем
<1%
25°C
$65 Объем
1%
26°C
$319 Объем
1%
27°C
$99 Объем
6%
28°C
$113 Объем
30%
29°C
$594 Объем
46%
30°C
$43 Объем
16%
31°C
$119 Объем
4%
32°C
$175 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$45 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Объем
$1,155Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,155Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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