Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 17 августа?
21°C 40%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
40%
22°C
24%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$122 Объем
<1%
17°C
$5 Объем
1%
18°C
$20 Объем
5%
19°C
$178 Объем
6%
20°C
$173 Объем
18%
21°C
$555 Объем
40%
22°C
$127 Объем
24%
23°C
$56 Объем
6%
24°C
$55 Объем
3%
25°C
$16 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$131 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Объем
$1,438Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,438Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ECMWF and KNMI model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under stable high-pressure influence, light winds, and modest solar heating moderated by North Sea air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology (average high near 21°C) and recent runs showing persistent cloud cover limiting further warming, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (39.5%) and 22°C (23.5%). Minor uncertainties in timing of any breaks in cloud or subtle advection shifts explain the secondary support for 20°C. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations at Schiphol will determine the precise outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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