**Forecast models show London cooling from this week's heatwave peak, with the Met Office projecting a 28°C maximum for August 15 as high pressure weakens and allows slightly fresher Atlantic air to influence the region.** Recent observations confirm highs of 33–35°C mid-week before the shift, and similar short-range markets have resolved near 26°C under comparable patterns. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any increased cloud cover or light showers, steering of the upper-level flow, and the strength of the urban heat island at the official London City Airport station. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 26–28°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in the cooling trend but residual uncertainty from small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders have priced this consensus accordingly, assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 26–27°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 августа?
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$710 Объем
<1%
21°C
$489 Объем
<1%
22°C
$258 Объем
<1%
23°C
$90 Объем
1%
24°C
$540 Объем
6%
25°C
$861 Объем
15%
26°C
$890 Объем
34%
27°C
$1,083 Объем
31%
28°C
$467 Объем
13%
29°C
$626 Объем
3%
30°C or higher
$353 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show London cooling from this week's heatwave peak, with the Met Office projecting a 28°C maximum for August 15 as high pressure weakens and allows slightly fresher Atlantic air to influence the region.**
Recent observations confirm highs of 33–35°C mid-week before the shift, and similar short-range markets have resolved near 26°C under comparable patterns. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any increased cloud cover or light showers, steering of the upper-level flow, and the strength of the urban heat island at the official London City Airport station. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 26–28°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in the cooling trend but residual uncertainty from small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders have priced this consensus accordingly, assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 26–27°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$6,367Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show London cooling from this week's heatwave peak, with the Met Office projecting a 28°C maximum for August 15 as high pressure weakens and allows slightly fresher Atlantic air to influence the region.**
Recent observations confirm highs of 33–35°C mid-week before the shift, and similar short-range markets have resolved near 26°C under comparable patterns. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any increased cloud cover or light showers, steering of the upper-level flow, and the strength of the urban heat island at the official London City Airport station. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 26–28°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in the cooling trend but residual uncertainty from small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders have priced this consensus accordingly, assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 26–27°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,367Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show London cooling from this week's heatwave peak, with the Met Office projecting a 28°C maximum for August 15 as high pressure weakens and allows slightly fresher Atlantic air to influence the region.** Recent observations confirm highs of 33–35°C mid-week before the shift, and similar short-range markets have resolved near 26°C under comparable patterns. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any increased cloud cover or light showers, steering of the upper-level flow, and the strength of the urban heat island at the official London City Airport station. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 26–28°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in the cooling trend but residual uncertainty from small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders have priced this consensus accordingly, assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 26–27°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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