Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office indicate a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, following peak heat on the 13th–14th, with daytime maxima centered around 25–27°C amid light rain or partly cloudy conditions. This positions 26°C as the narrow market leader at 35% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include evolving sea-breeze circulation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover modulating solar heating, and potential showers that could suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction reflect typical mid-August variability around the 21–22°C climatological average, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution updates over longer-term seasonal signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 15 августа?
26°C 36%
27°C 30%
25°C 17%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
30%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C или выше
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 30%
25°C 17%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
21°C
$0 Объем
1%
22°C
$90 Объем
2%
23°C
$67 Объем
4%
24°C
$0 Объем
7%
25°C
$0 Объем
17%
26°C
$3 Объем
36%
27°C
$0 Объем
30%
28°C
$0 Объем
9%
29°C
$17 Объем
3%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office indicate a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, following peak heat on the 13th–14th, with daytime maxima centered around 25–27°C amid light rain or partly cloudy conditions. This positions 26°C as the narrow market leader at 35% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include evolving sea-breeze circulation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover modulating solar heating, and potential showers that could suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction reflect typical mid-August variability around the 21–22°C climatological average, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution updates over longer-term seasonal signals.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$177Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office indicate a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, following peak heat on the 13th–14th, with daytime maxima centered around 25–27°C amid light rain or partly cloudy conditions. This positions 26°C as the narrow market leader at 35% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include evolving sea-breeze circulation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover modulating solar heating, and potential showers that could suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction reflect typical mid-August variability around the 21–22°C climatological average, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution updates over longer-term seasonal signals.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$177Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office indicate a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, following peak heat on the 13th–14th, with daytime maxima centered around 25–27°C amid light rain or partly cloudy conditions. This positions 26°C as the narrow market leader at 35% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include evolving sea-breeze circulation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover modulating solar heating, and potential showers that could suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction reflect typical mid-August variability around the 21–22°C climatological average, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution updates over longer-term seasonal signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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