Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by a strong sea breeze, are the dominant factors capping daytime heating at Los Angeles stations on August 12. National Weather Service model consensus and recent observations show low-level stratus and marine influence suppressing highs 8–10°F below the August climatological average of 84–85°F, with observed cooling of 2–5°F over prior days. These conditions position the 76–77°F bin as the market-implied leader at 55% probability, followed by 78–79°F at 32%, while limiting upside risk from warmer outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations continue to support this range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 12 августа?
76-77°F 55%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 9%
80-81°F 2.1%
НОВОЕ
$22,051 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,051 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 55%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 9%
80-81°F 2.1%
НОВОЕ
$22,051 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,051 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$1,501 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$932 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$842 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$2,286 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$3,270 Объем
9%
76-77°F
$4,504 Объем
55%
78-79°F
$3,927 Объем
35%
80-81°F
$1,453 Объем
2%
82-83°F
$1,808 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$1,212 Объем
1%
86°F или выше
$628 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by a strong sea breeze, are the dominant factors capping daytime heating at Los Angeles stations on August 12. National Weather Service model consensus and recent observations show low-level stratus and marine influence suppressing highs 8–10°F below the August climatological average of 84–85°F, with observed cooling of 2–5°F over prior days. These conditions position the 76–77°F bin as the market-implied leader at 55% probability, followed by 78–79°F at 32%, while limiting upside risk from warmer outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations continue to support this range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$22,051Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by a strong sea breeze, are the dominant factors capping daytime heating at Los Angeles stations on August 12. National Weather Service model consensus and recent observations show low-level stratus and marine influence suppressing highs 8–10°F below the August climatological average of 84–85°F, with observed cooling of 2–5°F over prior days. These conditions position the 76–77°F bin as the market-implied leader at 55% probability, followed by 78–79°F at 32%, while limiting upside risk from warmer outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations continue to support this range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,051Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by a strong sea breeze, are the dominant factors capping daytime heating at Los Angeles stations on August 12. National Weather Service model consensus and recent observations show low-level stratus and marine influence suppressing highs 8–10°F below the August climatological average of 84–85°F, with observed cooling of 2–5°F over prior days. These conditions position the 76–77°F bin as the market-implied leader at 55% probability, followed by 78–79°F at 32%, while limiting upside risk from warmer outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations continue to support this range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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