Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a highest temperature near 83°F in Denver on August 13, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F bins. A shift from the early-month heat dome toward increased monsoon moisture and partly sunny skies with isolated afternoon convection is limiting daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and potential gusty outflows introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Historical August normals near 88°F provide context, but current steering patterns and ensemble spreads favor values below that baseline. Traders are weighing the next model runs and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Денвере 13 августа?
80–81°F 35%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
75°F или ниже
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
16%
80–81°F
35%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
80–81°F 35%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
75°F или ниже
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
16%
80–81°F
35%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a highest temperature near 83°F in Denver on August 13, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F bins. A shift from the early-month heat dome toward increased monsoon moisture and partly sunny skies with isolated afternoon convection is limiting daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and potential gusty outflows introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Historical August normals near 88°F provide context, but current steering patterns and ensemble spreads favor values below that baseline. Traders are weighing the next model runs and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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