Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European centers points to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and strong solar heating over Paris through August 14, with daytime peaks centered around 37–38°C. Limited boundary-layer moisture and the urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings, support the market's tight split favoring 39°C at 44.5% and 38°C at 36%. Small revisions in moisture advection or front timing could shift the peak, while historical August extremes near 39–40°C provide context for the low-probability tails above 40°C. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 14 августа?
39°C 45%
38°C 36%
40°C 12%
37°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
35°C or below
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
9%
38°C
36%
39°C
45%
40°C
12%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 45%
38°C 36%
40°C 12%
37°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
35°C or below
$9 Объем
1%
36°C
$281 Объем
3%
37°C
$19 Объем
9%
38°C
$153 Объем
36%
39°C
$217 Объем
45%
40°C
$1 Объем
12%
41°C
$21 Объем
3%
42°C
$51 Объем
1%
43°C
$11 Объем
<1%
44°C
$165 Объем
<1%
45°C or higher
$447 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European centers points to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and strong solar heating over Paris through August 14, with daytime peaks centered around 37–38°C. Limited boundary-layer moisture and the urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings, support the market's tight split favoring 39°C at 44.5% and 38°C at 36%. Small revisions in moisture advection or front timing could shift the peak, while historical August extremes near 39–40°C provide context for the low-probability tails above 40°C. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$1,375Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European centers points to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and strong solar heating over Paris through August 14, with daytime peaks centered around 37–38°C. Limited boundary-layer moisture and the urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings, support the market's tight split favoring 39°C at 44.5% and 38°C at 36%. Small revisions in moisture advection or front timing could shift the peak, while historical August extremes near 39–40°C provide context for the low-probability tails above 40°C. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,375Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European centers points to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and strong solar heating over Paris through August 14, with daytime peaks centered around 37–38°C. Limited boundary-layer moisture and the urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings, support the market's tight split favoring 39°C at 44.5% and 38°C at 36%. Small revisions in moisture advection or front timing could shift the peak, while historical August extremes near 39–40°C provide context for the low-probability tails above 40°C. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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