Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a high around 30–32°C for Amsterdam on August 14, driven by a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with potential for modest warming if southeasterly flow strengthens or if daytime mixing is suppressed, though any increase in low-level moisture or onshore breeze could cap maxima near 31–32°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 22°C, making this setup an outlier that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 14 августа?
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 18%
35°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C или выше
<1%
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 18%
35°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$689 Объем
1%
29°C
$190 Объем
2%
30°C
$168 Объем
4%
31°C
$236 Объем
7%
32°C
$48 Объем
18%
33°C
$52 Объем
32%
34°C
$34 Объем
28%
35°C
$51 Объем
9%
36°C
$110 Объем
1%
37°C
$12 Объем
1%
38°C или выше
$16 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a high around 30–32°C for Amsterdam on August 14, driven by a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with potential for modest warming if southeasterly flow strengthens or if daytime mixing is suppressed, though any increase in low-level moisture or onshore breeze could cap maxima near 31–32°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 22°C, making this setup an outlier that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,606Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a high around 30–32°C for Amsterdam on August 14, driven by a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with potential for modest warming if southeasterly flow strengthens or if daytime mixing is suppressed, though any increase in low-level moisture or onshore breeze could cap maxima near 31–32°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 22°C, making this setup an outlier that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,606Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a high around 30–32°C for Amsterdam on August 14, driven by a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with potential for modest warming if southeasterly flow strengthens or if daytime mixing is suppressed, though any increase in low-level moisture or onshore breeze could cap maxima near 31–32°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 22°C, making this setup an outlier that explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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